Written By David Gomez
Lately, almost everyone I talk to about politics frequently mentions the time for a political change in the country. This frequency goes hand in hand with the constant complaining about the problems that we are all currently facing.
For nearly a decade, Justin Trudeau has been the face of Canadian politics. His initial rise to power in 2015 was marked by a wave of optimism and a promise of progressive change. Nonetheless, as we approach the next federal election in 2025, it has become increasingly clear that Trudeau’s image is significantly weakened. With his Liberal Party trailing behind the Conservatives in the polls, many Canadians are calling for a new leader to address the mounting challenges facing the country. Perhaps the time has come for changes.
Trudeau’s tenure has seen its share of successes, but it has also been marred by a series of failures and controversies that have eroded public trust. Economic challenges have been a significant factor in his decline. Canada’s economic growth has been below expectations, and the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with inflationary pressures, has created widespread dissatisfaction. Polls indicate that two-thirds of Canadians believe the country is on the wrong track, a sentiment that has only intensified with the rising cost of living.
One of Trudeau’s most controversial policies has been the carbon tax. Introduced in 2019 to combat climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the tax has steadily increased from $20 per tonne for gasoline to $85 in 2024. Initially, the policy had broad support, but as economic conditions worsened, it became a point of contention. And this is definitely an unnecessary burden on Canadians already struggling with high costs of living.
Another area where Trudeau has faced significant criticism is housing. Canada’s housing crisis remains one of the most pressing issues. Despite numerous promises and policies aimed at increasing housing supply and affordability, the problem has persisted. Canada continues to have some of the most expensive housing markets in the world, and many Canadians hold Trudeau responsible for his failure to address this critical issue effectively during his nearly ten years in power.
Polling data reflects this growing discontent. Trudeau’s net approval rating has plummeted to a dismal 32%, with his Liberal Party polling at just 24%, significantly behind the Conservatives at 42%. Moreover, a significant portion of Liberal supporters themselves, about one-third, believe it is time for Trudeau to step aside. This internal dissent underscores the urgency for change within the party if they hope to regain public confidence.
Pierre Poilievre, the leader of the Conservative Party, has emerged as a formidable challenger. His confrontational style and vocal criticism of Trudeau have resonated with many Canadians, propelling the Conservatives to a comfortable lead in the polls. Poilievre’s policies, such as repealing the carbon tax and balancing the budget, have broadened his political appeal. His positive approval rating of +4, compared to Trudeau’s negative rating, highlights a stark contrast in public perception. However, is he the one who will be able to solve the problems this country faces?
The demographic and regional breakdown of support also paints a bleak picture for Trudeau. The Liberals are losing ground among younger voters to both the Conservatives and the NDP, and they lack a strong geographic base. The Conservatives are performing well in Western Canada, suburban areas, and even making inroads in Quebec, a province historically challenging for them.
Given these circumstances, it is evident that the Liberal Party needs a new face to lead them into the next election. A leadership change could provide the fresh perspective and renewed energy necessary to address Canada’s pressing issues effectively. Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland is often mentioned as a potential successor, but whoever takes the helm will need to quickly establish themselves and present a compelling vision for the future. Something she probably won’t be able to do.
This decline is a sociological and political symptom that definitely requires action. The population is apparently demanding urgent change and improvements. Canada faces significant challenges that require effective, dynamic leadership. A change at the top could be the first step towards restoring public trust and addressing the economic and social issues that matter most to Canadians.
